a
To determine: The probability of long-term bonds and t-bill
Introduction:
The probability distribution refers to a function that provides the possibilities (probabilities) of occurrence of various possible outcomes in an investment.
a
Explanation of Solution
Given information:
It is given that the return on long-term bonds and treasury-bills are
The formula of Z-score equation:
Where,
Z refers to z-scores
X refers to return
µ refers to mean return
σ refers to standard deviation
When the return of long-term bonds is greater than 10%, the probability would be:
Considering, the Z value 0.4286 is approximately equal to 0.43.
Hence, the probability if the return is greater than 10% is 33.4%.
When the return of long-term bonds is less than 0%, the probability would be:
Considering, the Z value
Hence, the probability if the return is less than 0% is 22.3%.
The probability is 33.4%, when the return on long-term corporate bonds is greater than 10%. The probability is 22.3%, when the return on long-term corporate bonds is less than 0%.
(b)
To determine: The probability of long-term bonds and t-bill
(b)
Explanation of Solution
When the returns of t-bills are greater than 10%, then the probability would be:
Hence, the probability if the return on t-bills is greater than 10% is 1.80%.
When the returns of t-bills are less than 0%, then the probability would be:
Considering, the Z value
Hence, the probability if the return on t-bills is less than 0% is 12.9%.
The probability is 1.80%, when the return on t-bill is greater than 10%. The probability is 12.9%, when the return on long-term corporate bonds is less than 0%.
c)
To determine: The probability of long-term bonds and t-bill
c)
Explanation of Solution
When the return of long-term bonds is less than -4.18%, then the probability would be:
Considering, the Z value
Hence, the probability if the return on t-bills are less than – 4.18% is 10.38%.
When the return of T-bills is greater than 10.56%, the probability would be:
Considering, the Z value 2.2774 is approximately equal to 2.28.
Hence, the probability if the return on t-bills is greater than 10.56% is 1.13%. The probability is 10.38%, when the long-term bonds are less than -4.18. The probability is 1.13%, when the long-term bonds are greater than 10.56%.
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Chapter 10 Solutions
Corporate Finance (The Mcgraw-hill/Irwin Series in Finance, Insurance, and Real Estate)
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