Maximus Steel plans to introduce one of three new products code-named: Wren, Hawk, and Nightingale. The marketing department indicated that the success of any product depends on the market conditions (Favorable, Neutral, or Unfavorable). The profit the company will earn also depends on the market conditions.  The table below shows the probability estimated for each market condition and the profits Maximus Steel will realize within those conditions: Product Code Market Conditions Favorable P = 0.2 Neutral P = 0.7 Unfavorable P = 0.1 Wren $120,000 $70,000 ($30,000) Hawk $60,000 $40,000 $20,000 Nightingale $35,000 $30,000 $30,000 Part 1 Instructions: Compute the expected value for each alternative. What is the best option for the company?

Essentials of Business Analytics (MindTap Course List)
2nd Edition
ISBN:9781305627734
Author:Jeffrey D. Camm, James J. Cochran, Michael J. Fry, Jeffrey W. Ohlmann, David R. Anderson
Publisher:Jeffrey D. Camm, James J. Cochran, Michael J. Fry, Jeffrey W. Ohlmann, David R. Anderson
Chapter15: Decision Analysis
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Maximus Steel plans to introduce one of three new products code-named: Wren, Hawk, and Nightingale. The marketing department indicated that the success of any product depends on the market conditions (Favorable, Neutral, or Unfavorable). The profit the company will earn also depends on the market conditions. 

The table below shows the probability estimated for each market condition and the profits Maximus Steel will realize within those conditions:

Product Code

Market Conditions

Favorable

P = 0.2

Neutral

P = 0.7

Unfavorable

P = 0.1

Wren

$120,000

$70,000

($30,000)

Hawk

$60,000

$40,000

$20,000

Nightingale

$35,000

$30,000

$30,000

Part 1 Instructions:

  1. Compute the expected value for each alternative. What is the best option for the company?
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