A. Based on the pure expectations theory, is the following statement true or false? The pure expectations theory assumes that a one-year bond purchased today will have the same return as a one-year bond purchased five years from now.   False   True     B. The yield on a one-year Treasury security is 5.8400%, and the two-year Treasury security has a 8.7600% yield. Assuming that the pure expectations theory is correct, what is the market’s estimate of the one-year Treasury rate one year from now? (Note: Do not round your intermediate calculations.)   14.936%   13.4071%   11.7606%   9.9965%     C. Recall that on a one-year Treasury security the yield is 5.8400% and 8.7600% on a two-year Treasury security. Suppose the one-year security does not have a maturity risk premium, but the two-year security does and it is 0.4%. What is the market’s estimate of the one-year Treasury rate one year from now? (Note: Do not round your intermediate calculations.)   13.8938%   10.94%   12.4716%   9.299%     D. Suppose the yield on a two-year Treasury security is 5.83%, and the yield on a five-year Treasury security is 6.20%. Assuming that the pure expectations theory is correct, what is the market’s estimate of the three-year Treasury rate two years from now? (Note: Do not round your intermediate calculations.)   5.46%   7.10%   6.61%   6.45%

Essentials Of Investments
11th Edition
ISBN:9781260013924
Author:Bodie, Zvi, Kane, Alex, MARCUS, Alan J.
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Chapter1: Investments: Background And Issues
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6. Pure expectations theory

The pure expectations theory, or the expectations hypothesis, asserts that long-term interest rates can be used to estimate future short-term interest rates.
 
A. Based on the pure expectations theory, is the following statement true or false?
The pure expectations theory assumes that a one-year bond purchased today will have the same return as a one-year bond purchased five years from now.
 
False
 
True
 
 
B. The yield on a one-year Treasury security is 5.8400%, and the two-year Treasury security has a 8.7600% yield. Assuming that the pure expectations theory is correct, what is the market’s estimate of the one-year Treasury rate one year from now? (Note: Do not round your intermediate calculations.)
 
14.936%
 
13.4071%
 
11.7606%
 
9.9965%
 
 
C. Recall that on a one-year Treasury security the yield is 5.8400% and 8.7600% on a two-year Treasury security. Suppose the one-year security does not have a maturity risk premium, but the two-year security does and it is 0.4%. What is the market’s estimate of the one-year Treasury rate one year from now? (Note: Do not round your intermediate calculations.)
 
13.8938%
 
10.94%
 
12.4716%
 
9.299%
 
 
D. Suppose the yield on a two-year Treasury security is 5.83%, and the yield on a five-year Treasury security is 6.20%. Assuming that the pure expectations theory is correct, what is the market’s estimate of the three-year Treasury rate two years from now? (Note: Do not round your intermediate calculations.)
 
5.46%
 
7.10%
 
6.61%
 
6.45%
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