3. In this problem you will create, and then consider, a model for the effect of influenza and pneumonia on the population of large US cities over a two-year-period. (a)  The figure below is taken from [5]. Sketch on the figure, or on some axes drawn on your own page, a smooth curve that describes the “average behaviour” of the two curves shown in the figure. (b)  Based on your sketch in part (a), or otherwise, make a model of the death rate due to influenza and pneumonia in large cities in the USA for the two-year-period beginning 3 August 1934. Your model should be in the form of a function. In making your model, you may have to make assumptions and/or choices. Briefly justify each assumption and choice.

Essentials of Pharmacology for Health Professions
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Author:WOODROW
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Chapter17: Anti-infective Drugs
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3. In this problem you will create, and then consider, a model for the effect of influenza and pneumonia on the population of large US cities over a two-year-period.

(a)  The figure below is taken from [5]. Sketch on the figure, or on some axes drawn on your own page, a smooth curve that describes the “average behaviour” of the two curves shown in the figure.

(b)  Based on your sketch in part (a), or otherwise, make a model of the death rate due to influenza and pneumonia in large cities in the USA for the two-year-period beginning 3 August 1934. Your model should be in the form of a function. In making your model, you may have to make assumptions and/or choices. Briefly justify each assumption and choice.

سه است
250
225
200
175
150
123
100
75
50
25
3
17 7 21 5 19 2
AUG SEPT. ост
16 7 21 418 1 15
NOV DEC JAN
7 21 4 18 2
FEB MCH APR
10 6 20 4 18 1
MAY JUNE JULY
15
AUG
SEPT
FIGURE 1.-Weekly death rates per 100,000 population (annual basis) for influenza and pneumonia in about
95 large cities in the United States, from the week ending August 10, 1935, to September 19, 1936, and
for corresponding weeks of the preceding year.
1934-1935
5 19
Transcribed Image Text:سه است 250 225 200 175 150 123 100 75 50 25 3 17 7 21 5 19 2 AUG SEPT. ост 16 7 21 418 1 15 NOV DEC JAN 7 21 4 18 2 FEB MCH APR 10 6 20 4 18 1 MAY JUNE JULY 15 AUG SEPT FIGURE 1.-Weekly death rates per 100,000 population (annual basis) for influenza and pneumonia in about 95 large cities in the United States, from the week ending August 10, 1935, to September 19, 1936, and for corresponding weeks of the preceding year. 1934-1935 5 19
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