1. Read The decision-making tree - A simple way to visualize a decision. Optional: also read The Roots of Decision Making a. Explain, in your own words, what is a decision tree? b. What are three options for your education or career. Based on the text, how can you use a decision tree to help choose among these? c. What do you expect will be the most challenging or difficult part of using a decision tree to help you make this choice? 2. Read pp. 565 to 574 of Managerial Decision Modeling: Business Analytics with Spreadsheets. a. Explain, in your own words, what is Monte Carlo simulation? b. Based on the text, how can you use numerical simulations to help you decide among the three options you mentioned in 1b? c. What do you expect will be the most challenging or difficult part of using a simulation to help you make this choice?
1. Read The decision-making tree - A simple way to visualize a decision. Optional: also read The Roots of Decision Making a. Explain, in your own words, what is a decision tree? b. What are three options for your education or career. Based on the text, how can you use a decision tree to help choose among these? c. What do you expect will be the most challenging or difficult part of using a decision tree to help you make this choice? 2. Read pp. 565 to 574 of Managerial Decision Modeling: Business Analytics with Spreadsheets. a. Explain, in your own words, what is Monte Carlo simulation? b. Based on the text, how can you use numerical simulations to help you decide among the three options you mentioned in 1b? c. What do you expect will be the most challenging or difficult part of using a simulation to help you make this choice?
Chapter2: Managerial Decision-making
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 4CRQ: What is confirmation bias? Explain how it can be a barrier to effective decision-making.
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