In a game, you are given a chance to own 20,000 in $100 banknote denomination. What you need to do is to offer your opponent some amount of money which he is willing to accept, and you have two chances to offer her the amount. If she refuses both of your offers, both of you will leave the game with $0. Assuming that your opponent is rational and she has rejected your first offer, what will be your second offer to her? $10,000 $5,000 $15,000 $19000 $100
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- Suppose you have $35,000 in wealth. You have the opportunity to play a game called "Big Bet/Small Bet." In this game, you first choose whether you would like to make a big bet of $15,000 of a small bet of $5,000. You then roll a fair die. If you roll a 4, 5, or 6, you win the game and earn $15,000 for the big bet or $5,000 for the small bet. If you roll a 1, 2, or 3, you lose and lose $15,000 for the big bet and $5,000 for the small bet the game Utility U₂ U₁ BEL 0 11 LATE EE ARTE Are the Small Bet and Big Bet considered fair bets? O Big Bet is fair, but Small Bet is not. No, both are not fair. Yes, both are fair. 20 OSmall Bet is fair, but Big Bet is not. G HA 1 35 D E 1 1 1 1 1 F 1 U 50 Income (thousands of dollars)You like your job, but your boss gives lousy bonuses. You were recently offered a new job with better rewards and your friend wants to know if you intend to take it. You say, "It depends on whether the bonus this year is generous, Let's wait and see. We'll find out next week" The likely outcome of this game is your boss gives you a ousy :bonus and you ept the new job. If you want to stay at your current job and be better rewarded, you could improve your strategy if you: demand an increase in your bonus by a certain amount, but does not tel your boss about the job offer. adopt a dominant strategy to accept the other position and make this known to your boss. O tell the boss about the job offer you are prepared to take if your bonus structure does not increase by a certain amount. Cadopt a dominant strategy to stay at your current position and make this known to your boss.a Suppose you are given a choice between thefollowing options:A1: Win $30 for sureA2: 80% chance of winning $45 and 20% chance ofA2: winning nothing B1: 25% chance of winning $30B2: 20% chance of winning $45Most people prefer A1 to A2 and B2 to B1. Explainwhy this behavior violates the assumption that decisionmakers maximize expected utility.b Now suppose you play the following game: You havea 75% chance of winning nothing and a 25% chance ofplaying the second stage of the game. If you reach thesecond stage, you have a choice of two options (C1 andC2), but your choice must be made now, before youreach the second stage.C1: Win $30 for sureC2: 80% chance of winning $45 13.5 Bayes’ Rule and Decision Trees 767Most people choose C1 over C2 and B2 to B1 (from part(a)). Explain why this again violates the assumption ofexpected utility maximization. Tversky and Kahneman(1981) speculate that most people are attracted to thesure $30 in the second stage, even though the secondstage may never be…
- Question 4. Zeynep and Mehmet will eventually play the following game. Mehmet L R U 3,1 0,0 Zeynep D 0,3 1,3 In a preliminary stage, Zeynep has already asked Mehmet to allow her to move first and proposed to pay him 1 unit of her own payoff in exchange. So Mehmet has to options: • If he accepts Zeynep's offer: they will play the sequential move version of the above game in which Zeynep moves first. Mehmet will receive 1 unit of utility more, and Zeynep will receive 1 unit of utility less (in any outcome of the game) compared to the payoffs given in the bimatrix. 2 • If he rejects Zeynep's offer: they will play the simultaneous move game. a. Represent this strategic interaction in a game tree. b. How many information sets does each player have? c. Characterize the set of pure strategies for both players. d. Present this game as a normal-form game, and characterize the set of pure strategy Nash equi- libria.You and a coworker are assigned a team project on which your likelihood or a promotion will be decidedon. It is now the night before the project is due and neither has yet to start it. You both want toreceive a promotion next year, but you both also want to go to your company’s holiday party that night.Each of you wants to maximize his or her own happiness (likelihood of a promotion and mingling withyour colleagues “on the company’s dime”). If you both work, you deliver an outstanding presentation.If you both go to the party, your presentation is mediocre. If one parties and the other works, yourpresentation is above average. Partying increases happiness by 25 units. Working on the project addszero units to happiness. Happiness is also affected by your chance of a promotion, which is depends on howgood your project is. An outstanding presentation gives 40 units of happiness to each of you; an aboveaverage presentation gives 30 units of happiness; a mediocre presentation gives 10 units…2. Consider the following "centipede game." The game starts with player 1 choosing be- tween terminate (T) and continue (C). If player 1 chooses C, the game proceeds with player 2 choosing between terminate (t) and continue (c). The two players choose be- tween terminate and continue in turn if the other player chooses continue until the terminal nodes with (player l's payoff, player 2's payoff) are reached as shown below. TTTT Player 1 Player 2 Player 1 Player 2 (3, 3) t (1, 1) (0, 3) (2, 2) (1, 4) (a) List all possible strategies of each player. (b) Transform the game tree into a normal-form matrix representation. (c) Find all pure-strategy Nash equilibria. (d) Find the unique pure-strategy subgame-perfect equilibrium.
- 2. Consider a game that game theory people refer to as the “ultimatum game.”We will refer to our two players as the “offerer” and the “decider”. How the gameworks is that the offerer proposes a way to split $1000 between the two players.While this could be done in a variety of ways, we will assume that the offerersonly has two possible proposals: Either a 50-50 split, or she offers the decider$50 and keeps the rest. The decider can either accept or reject the offer. If the offer is accepted, the money is split as proposed. If the offer is rejected, themoney spontaneously combusts and nobody gets anything. a) List the strategies for each player and write an extensive form version of thegame with payouts. b) List all the Nash equilibria of this game. c) Explain which, if any of the Nash equilibrium are not sub-game perfect. d) Write the game out in normal form and find the pure strategy Nashequilibrium. Explain how this matches with your answers to (b) and (c) . Alsoexplain why there…Q3. Imagine that two partners are trying to divide up $66. Imagine that this game is played only once and that player 1 gets to decide how to divide the $66. Upload a picture of the game tree. You only need to include a minimum of 5 branches.Suppose players A and B play a discrete ultimatum game where A proposes to split a $5 surplus and B responds by either accepting the offer or rejecting it. The offer can only be made in $1 increments. If the offer is accepted, the players' payoffs resemble the terms of the offer while if the offer is rejected, both players get zero. Also assume that players always use the strategy that all strictly positive offers are accepted, but an offer of $0 is rejected. A. What is the solution to the game in terms of player strategies and payoffs? Explain or demonstrate your answer. B. Suppose the ultimatum game is played twice if player B rejects A's initial offer. If so, then B is allowed to make a counter offer to split the $5, and if A rejects, both players get zero dollars at the end of the second round. What is the solution to this bargaining game in terms of player strategies and payoffs? Explain/demonstrate your answer. C. Suppose the ultimatum game is played twice as in (B) but now there…
- Costco Spend $1B on advertising Spend $1.5B on advertising Spend $1B on advertising $3.5B; $2.7B $4.2; $2.2B Target Spend $1.5B on advertising $3.2B; $3.4B $4B; $3B7 In bargaining theory, sometimes an individual’s patience level can affect his or her bargaining power. Consider a simple repeated game in which Person 1 makes an offer to purchase a good that Person 2 is selling; Person 2 can either accept this offer or reject it and make a counteroffer. This game continues until one player accepts the other’s offer. Explain how incorporating the rate of time preference (ββ) into such a repeated game might alter the outcome.First Player can invest $1.00 with Second Player. Second Player chooses whether tc cooperate and make the promised investment, or appropriate and keep First Player'a $1.00. Based on the payoff matrix shown below (first player payoffs on bottom left of cell, second player payoffa on upper right of cell), what will be First Player's payoff if contracis are not enforceable? Second Player Cooperate Appropriate Invest 1.5 1.0 First Player 1.5 -1.0 Don't Invest